Foreign Affairs January February 2022 Issue. A decade ago, U.S. Secretary of Defense Leon Panetta issued a stark warning about the dangers of a “cyber–Pearl Harbor”—a digital attack that would cause real-world death and destruction. The subsequent years have, in one sense, made that fear seem overblown; after all, the direst scenarios that Panetta and others dreaded have not come to pass. But in another sense, the warning seems, if anything, too restrained: today, governments, businesses, and citizens alike face pervasive and unrelenting cyber threats that would have been hard to imagine in 2012, adding layers of risk and complexity to already fraught problems of security, politics, and governance. As the costs have mounted, policymakers have struggled to respond. Part of the problem, argues Sue Gordon and Eric Rosenbach, is that “the domain of cyberspace is shaped not by a binary between war and peace but by a spectrum between those two poles—and most cyberattacks fall somewhere in that murky space.” But strategies to counter them have failed to reflect this reality, leaving the advantage to attackers even after years of effort. Foreign Affairs January February 2022 Issue.
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